How to predict a country's equity open market activities?
What are the knob indicators to give support to predict the direction a country's bazaar index is heading? I invest mostly in index funds, so I would approaching to be capable of win a sense of which countries are probable to do better than others. I guess GDP is a worthy entity to look at, any others?
Answers:
Not so much GDP but GDP growth rates and country stability and political direction. Here is a connection to current GDP growth information and fund recitation comparisons.
http://biz.yahoo.com/seekingalpha/070803...
short run, impossible to share. In the long run (aka 10 years and beyond), 8-10% a year.
The things you have to look for is country's foreign policies, foreign direct investment growth rate, foreign reserves, trade defecit or surplus, interest rates & inflation rate and afcourse GDP is a solid indicator of country's monetary position but don't forget the other decribed factor which make GDP of any country nouns.
hope it help
There are more and more intercontinental companies
which prospects are not allied to a specific country.
Also market around the world tend to move contained by sync,
although at different speeds.
This said, you are slightly right that a country GDP growth
is a switch indicator. This make that emerging countries
see usually better souk presentation than "mature"
countries.
On the other appendage it is sometimes difficult to acquire reliable
information on their companies and in attendance is a smaller
choice of companies tabled contained by their stock open market.
That make a specific souk risk (high volatility).
Morality : diversify geographically !
.
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Answers:
Not so much GDP but GDP growth rates and country stability and political direction. Here is a connection to current GDP growth information and fund recitation comparisons.
http://biz.yahoo.com/seekingalpha/070803...
short run, impossible to share. In the long run (aka 10 years and beyond), 8-10% a year.
The things you have to look for is country's foreign policies, foreign direct investment growth rate, foreign reserves, trade defecit or surplus, interest rates & inflation rate and afcourse GDP is a solid indicator of country's monetary position but don't forget the other decribed factor which make GDP of any country nouns.
hope it help
There are more and more intercontinental companies
which prospects are not allied to a specific country.
Also market around the world tend to move contained by sync,
although at different speeds.
This said, you are slightly right that a country GDP growth
is a switch indicator. This make that emerging countries
see usually better souk presentation than "mature"
countries.
On the other appendage it is sometimes difficult to acquire reliable
information on their companies and in attendance is a smaller
choice of companies tabled contained by their stock open market.
That make a specific souk risk (high volatility).
Morality : diversify geographically !
.