What are your expectations for the stock open market contained by the subsequent weeks?
Answers:
Look for the flea market to verbs it's "bounce" till around mid September and the Dow to realize at tiniest 13,485, possibly as lofty as 13,600. Then look for the open market to rollover and experience a expeditious and uncontained provide of surrounded by mid October next to the Dow reaching 11,400 continuum to possibly as low as 10,800 since stabilizing. Look for the souk to get better through tardy 2007, impulsive 2008 and afterwards rollover and verbs to tumble. We are entering a the stages of a impressively brutal carry flea market that will final at smallest 10 years (till 2017 minimum, possibly till 2022 or 2024) and erase 13,000 points stale the Dow when this take on completes.
my expectations are that Oil companies will verbs to rise and mortgage and loan companies will verbs to come to nothing.
Continued volatility moving towards a more steady retrieval surrounded by 3-4 weeks after credit woes are no longer so shocking. Look for a move to feature, generous cap and a move away from anything to do next to valid estate or lend. Back to the dignified 13,000's by past due Oct.
I presume the prevalent issue contained by that time frame is: will we re-test the lows of two weeks ago? My answer is yes. It could be a half-hearted drop or a worse one. But I guess that Thursday bottom be simply too spruce and verbs. If another mid-sized wall or mortgage company go insolvent, that would do it.
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It's rock-hard to speak. I judge the subsequent big open market mover will be the subsequent address from the Federal Reserve. Most big movers and shakers surrounded by the US open market are awaiting the ruling of Mr. Bernanke on whether the Fed will cut short-term interest rates.
I don't come up with this is the time to look for a big, strong bull open market at this point in time.
It will fluctuate
Until the Fed round-table within September the market will probably be surrounded by a dally and see mode. A lot is riding on the September FOMC monetary policy seminar, so investors will be on the sidelines seriously up to that time consequently.